Dodge City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

743
FXUS63 KDDC 251025
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
425 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

...Updated Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of dense fog are possible near Hays and along I-70
  Christmas morning.

- Unseasonably warm temperatures will continue through Saturday,
  with some record highs expected.

- A strong cold front is expected Sunday morning, with intense
  north winds. Dramatically colder Sunday, with temperatures
  falling during the day.

- Snow flurries are possible Sunday, otherwise southwest Kansas
  will remain dry through at least January 3rd.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1210 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

`Twas the night before Christmas, and all through the plains,
not a snowflake was falling, nor freezing type rains.
Temperatures remained mild, winter coats not to wear, in hopes
that a cold front would soon be there. But alas, high pressure
is anchored in place, bringing unseasonable warmth to the DDC
space. The children were nestled all snug in their beds, while
visions of record highs for Christmas danced in their heads. And
I at the workstation, watching the screen, saw a weather
pattern surprisingly serene. When out on the obs plot there rose
such a clatter, I checked the METARs to see what was the
matter. It wasn`t a blizzard, or squall line so grand, but some
patches of dense fog covering the eastern land. Near Hays, the
visibility had dropped, as the boundary layer had cooled and the
wind speeds had stopped. But come Christmas day, the sun will
appear, mixing out all the moisture and making it clear. Then
rapid warming will commence, the mercury will take flight, with
850 mb temperatures soaring in height. More rapid than eagles,
the warm thermals came, and we whistled, and shouted, and called
them by name:
"Now 70s, now lower 80s, on warm advection! To the top of the
charts and record detection. So up to the 70s the mercury flew,
with a sky full of sunshine, and downslope SWly winds anew. A
ridge in the upper levels continues to grow, keeping away the
white stuff; there will be no snow. But shortly thereafter, the
models do show, a change in the pattern beginning to flow. On
Sunday a trough digs down from the north, sending a strong cold
front to sally on forth. The gradient tightens, the north winds
will blow, with falling temperatures Sunday, a more seasonal
show. Monday morning will be cold, well down into the teens, but
the warmer air quickly returns, not much like winter it seems.
Looking ahead, through much of next week, precipitation chances
remain very bleak.

But for now, enjoy the warmth and the sunlight. Merry Christmas
to all, and to all a good night!

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 425 AM CST Thu Dec 25 2025

Surface observations at 1020z Thu depicted dense fog impacting
aviation operations at HYS. Consensus of short term models
suggests fog and/or stratus will persist at HYS through much of
the morning, perhaps as long as 18z, before diminishing.
Otherwise, excellent flying weather will continue at GCK/DDC/LBL
through this TAF period, with VFR/SKC and light winds. After
18z Thu, SW winds will gust 22-24 kts, before diminishing around
00z Fri/sunset.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CST this morning for KSZ031-046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Turner
AVIATION...Turner